IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.1	#349
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.5	#72
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-26.0	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+10.9	#2

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	5.9%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	8.9%	21.9%	6.4%
.500 or above in Conference	34.0%	48.5%	31.2%
Conference Champion	4.0%	7.7%	3.2%
Last Place in Conference	22.1%	12.5%	23.9%

First Four	3.3%	5.5%	2.8%
First Round	1.3%	2.7%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	8 - 14	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	180	Rider	L	56-67	16%
Nov 12, 2019	259	@ Manhattan	L	41-54	12%
Nov 15, 2019	62	@ Georgia	L	43-70	1%
Nov 18, 2019	210	LIU Brooklyn	L	54-63	21%
Nov 20, 2019	85	@ Virginia Tech	L	39-63	2%
Nov 23, 2019	71	@ East Tennessee St.	L	43-68	1%
Nov 30, 2019	172	Coastal Carolina	L	52-64	16%
Dec 04, 2019	209	Loyola Maryland	L	53-62	21%
Dec 16, 2019	240	Delaware	L	47-58	18%
Dec 18, 2019	216	@ Jacksonville St.	L	46-61	10%
Dec 22, 2019	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	49-60	19%
Jan 04, 2020	329	Morgan St.	L	58-60	45%
Jan 11, 2020	322	NC Central	L	51-53	42%
Jan 13, 2020	325	N.C. A&T	L	52-54	44%
Jan 25, 2020	322	@ NC Central	L	48-56	25%
Jan 27, 2020	325	@ N.C. A&T	L	49-57	25%
Feb 01, 2020	348	Coppin St.	W	57-55	58%
Feb 03, 2020	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	36-32	63%
Feb 08, 2020	318	@ Norfolk St.	L	51-59	25%
Feb 10, 2020	323	@ South Carolina St.	L	54-62	26%
Feb 15, 2020	341	Florida A&M	W	50-49	54%
Feb 17, 2020	326	Bethune-Cookman	L	57-59	44%
Feb 22, 2020	348	@ Coppin St.	L	54-58	39%
Feb 24, 2020	329	@ Morgan St.	L	55-63	26%
Feb 29, 2020	350	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	33-35	43%
Mar 02, 2020	318	Norfolk St.	L	54-56	43%
Mar 05, 2020	337	@ Howard	L	57-63	31%
Projected Record						8 - 19	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.6	1.2	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0		4.0	1st
2nd										0.2	1.3	2.0	1.3	0.3	0.0				5.1	2nd
3rd									0.1	1.4	2.7	1.4	0.3	0.0					5.9	3rd
4th								0.0	1.2	3.5	1.6	0.3	0.0						6.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.8	3.9	2.7	0.3	0.0							7.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.8	3.9	0.6	0.0								8.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	3.6	5.1	1.0	0.0									10.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.6	3.2	5.5	1.8	0.1										11.2	8th
9th			0.1	0.8	3.5	5.4	2.7	0.2	0.0										12.7	9th
10th		0.1	1.0	4.0	5.4	2.9	0.3	0.0											13.7	10th
11th	0.8	2.8	4.3	4.0	1.8	0.3	0.0												14.1	11th

Total	0.8	3.0	5.3	8.8	11.3	12.3	12.8	11.8	10.2	8.4	6.1	4.3	2.7	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	94.4%	0.7		0.6	0.1
13-3	76.7%	1.1		0.8	0.3	0.0
12-4	42.9%	1.2		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0
11-5	14.8%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
10-6	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		46.5%	46.5%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.0
15-1	0.2%		38.3%	38.3%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.1
14-2	0.7%		26.4%	26.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5
13-3	1.5%		19.5%	19.5%		15.9																0.0	0.3	1.2
12-4	2.7%		19.7%	19.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	2.2
11-5	4.3%		12.7%	12.7%		16.0																	0.5	3.7
10-6	6.1%		8.4%	8.4%		16.0																	0.5	5.6
9-7	8.4%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																	0.5	7.8
8-8	10.2%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.4	9.8
7-9	11.8%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	11.6
6-10	12.8%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	12.7
5-11	12.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
4-12	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
3-13	8.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
2-14	5.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
1-15	3.0%																							3.0
0-16	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.1	3.4	96.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%